A quote from the financial press;
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UK MOTOR UNLIKELY TO MAKE MONEY BEFORE 2014, SAYS E&Y
The UK motor insurance industry is unlikely to make money before 2014, according to a report from accountancy firm Ernst & Young. A two-year run of rising prices came to a halt at the start of 2012, according to Catherine Barton, partner in E&Y's financial services actuarial team. Low investment yields meant that the sector was unlikely to be profitable in 2012 or 2013, with the combined ratio likely to be steady at 104%-105%. Ms Barton said that "we are now at risk of seeing a two-tier market develop where those insurers whose motor businesses have returned to profitability will start to compete more aggressively on price, meaning those that have not returned to profit face a choice between increasing their premiums and returning to profitability but losing market share, or holding out and operating at a loss for a few more years to defend their volumes". E&Y also predicted that there could be some changes in ownership over the next three years because of its relatively low reserving requirements. That, said E&Y, would make the sector relatively capital efficient under forthcoming Solvency II regulations. Ms Barton said that in the next three years it looks like we could see up to 50% of the UK motor market changing hands and, if this level of transactional activity plays out, we expect private equity players might be keen to get into the market while profits are low and they think they can strike a good deal".
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As I said, it is a poorly run business which is further abused by fraudulent claims.
They don't help themselves in as much as the difference between 3rd party only and comprehensive cover is far too small so whenever anyone has a self inflicted knock, they claim.
My 1st policy a few years back (ok 30!) was 3rd party only for the first 3 years and I was scared sh1tless of having a claim. I did slightly 'ding' the car a few times and my mates sorted it out on the cheap.
Unfortunately a supermarket knock is now claimed for as it's such a pain trying to sort these things yourself. Every car is metalic and every metalic is a slightly different shade.
Similarly, I'd have had to be in the right part of town to find 3 new'ish executive cars and a dozen new'ish small cars in one car park, now you can find them all parked in a row at most council estates. It's so much easier to have a big claim and unfortunately many do.